What has just begun will be a particularly important week to define the progress of the pandemic in Umbria. To predict it on the basis of mathematical models is Luca Gammaitoni, experimental physicist at the University of Perugia. “The curves are evolving as we had anticipated and we are a little ahead of the national average,” he added in response to Ansa. “We observed – explained Gammaitoni – a substantial decrease in positives and the achievement of the maximum and consequent decrease in hospitalizations. It will be very important to keep the curve of the number of new daily infections under control this week. It is in fact what defines the trend for the next month. If the decline continues, then by February we will be at the November numbers and we could look to spring as the exit from the epidemic. If, on the other hand, the curve should slow down a lot or, heaven forbid, increase, then we will have to wait a longer period ”.
