EThis Monday the final of the Final Fourthe game for the collegiate title of the NCAAB. The match is also a duel between two historical figures of university basketball in the USA: the Kansas Jayhawksthe first seed of the tournament, against the North Carolina Tar Heelsseeded number 8 and great surprise of the national competition.
Kansas (33-6) was last crowned national champion in 2008 when they defeated Memphis, his third championship in history. For their part, North Carolina (29-9) was last crowned in 2017 when they beat Gonzaga and they got their seventh national title.
Who is the favorite to win the UNC vs. Kansas Final Four?
Statistically, the Jayhawks are one of the best offensive teams in the country. They ranked 23rd in the nation, averaging 78.4 points per game. Kansas has scored more than 79 points in three games during the 2022 NCAA Tournament On Saturday, they clearly beat Villanova 81-65, with a spectacular 54% effectiveness in field goals.
Four of his five starters scored in double figures: the forward David McCormack produced 25 points with nine rebounds, followed by guard Ochai Agbaji who made six of seven 3-pointers and finished with 21 points. Forward Jalen Wilson added 11 points and 12 rebounds.
On the part of North Carolina, Armando Bacot he has great strength and is powerful on the board, but is in doubt with an ankle injury suffered on Saturday. His participation is vital because he averages 16.3 points, 13.1 rebounds and shoots with an ERA of 58. In the NCAA tournament, he has dropped at least 20 boards in consecutive games. (11 points and 21 boards in his last game.
While RJ Davis, is a fast guard to penetrate the sides. He puts up 13.5 points, 4.1 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game. And he’s 36% ERA on his 3-point attempts. In the win over Duke, he produced 18 points, seven rebounds and four assists.
bookmakers like Caesars Sportsbook puts the Jayhawks as four-point favorites. While the over-under to predict the total points is 151.
On the other hand, projection model SportsLine which simulates every NCAAB Division I game 10,000 times yields very similar predictions:
Kansas is a 4.5-point favorite in the game.
The money line is at -190 for Kansas vs. +155 for North Carolina is +155.
The over-under is estimated at 151.5 points.
Magazine Sports Illustrated points out that the champion will be North Carolina by a score of 71-69 and anticipated that Leaky Black will complicate the plays for Ochai Agbaji. While coach Hubert Davis will coach the college title he failed to win in 1991, the Tar Heels will have won the most unlikely of seven national titles.
- The match is played on Monday, April 4, 2022
- Starts at 9:20 p.m. Eastern Time
- The venue for the game is the New Orleans Superdome, home of the Saints
- The transmission can be followed by the CBS network