Los Angeles Chargers’ QB-Receiver Duo: Herbert and Allen’s Declining Value After Williams’ Injury

EXPECTED POINTS ADDED: +30.8

Herbert and Allen actually led all QB-pass catcher duos in total EPA through four weeks this season. But Mike Williams’ ACL tear in Week 3 has negatively impacted Allen’s value as a pass catcher. Herbert-Allen targets have generated just +3.4 EPA since Week 4, which ranks 80th among QB-pass catcher duos and is 28 spots behind Herbert and Los Angeles’ No. 2 wide receiver, Joshua Palmer (+5.8), during this span.

The pairing doesn’t pass the “per dropback” test, either. Herbert and Allen have generated just +0.14 EPA per dropback since Williams’ injury, which is slightly higher, at 68th among duos with at least 10 targets since Week 4, but still lower than Herbert and Palmer (+0.26) — and even lagging behind Herbert and tight end Gerald Everett (+0.15).

2023-10-26 19:46:00
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