Yesterday’s freebie, the Nationals, failed to pull off an upset over the Mets due to an extra-innings loss. However, both of baseball’s premium picks proved winners: no runs scored in the first inning of the Mets-Nationals game and Willy Adames totaled over 1.5 walks.
This latest pick is our sixth straight win in the proposition betting category. We have a 66-44 record with this type of bet, which has generated a 9.6% return on investment (ROI) this season. Please visit MJPicks.com to take advantage of these bets with positive expected value.
Let’s take a chance on another underdog, but hopefully this one pays off: I’m picking the Oakland Athletics to defeat the Los Angeles Angels.
This trick is supported by the betting angle “The interrupted winning streak”. Its rules are very simple and yet very effective in determining the winners: you have to bet on the home team every time the away club has lost its previous duel after winning at least five in a row.
Today, the Angels are the visiting team and they’re on a six-game winning streak that was snapped by a 7-6 loss to Detroit on Sunday. So, by the rules of “The Winning Streak Stopped,” we have to side with Oakland in this American League West game.
Over the past four seasons, this strategy has generated an ROI of +3.6% on a sample size of 145 bets. I also like the logic of the strategy, as it essentially predicts a second straight loss for a team that has had a long winning streak. In other words, we expect this team’s confidence to be shaken after seeing its hot streak come to an end.
I also think the pitching matchup works in our favor. Jose Soriano has done a solid job for the Angels this season, but will he be as solid after landing on the injured list and not pitching since June 12? To me, that adds some risk for those betting on Los Angeles.
On the other side, Mitch Spence will take the mound for the A’s. I like the fact that he got roughed up by these same Angels in his previous start, because it makes the revenge factor even stronger. He’s allowed a career-high six runs this year in just over five innings of work. So, I think he’ll be motivated to frustrate them this time around.
The cherry on top is that Oakland was swept by the Angels about a week ago. So, once again, I’m going to take full advantage of the revenge factor by putting my hard-earned money on Oakland to get the win in the series opener.
I’ll be back with you throughout the week with more baseball tips and strategies!
2024-07-02 19:23:59
#experts #pick #Athletics #revenge
