Over-performer meets under-performer in our Chargers vs. Bengals tip for NFL Gameday 11. This is also the Sunday Night Game, which gives both teams a big stage to confirm their performance or, in the case of the Bengals, themselves to rehabilitate.
Although there isn’t that much to make up for, they gave the Ravens a big fight on the last day of the game. As in the first duel with Baltimore, this time they were very close to success again.
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But almost isn’t enough in the NFL and So the Bengals have their backs against the wall with a 4:6 record. They can hardly afford another bankruptcy, which makes the duel with the Chargers even more interesting. They are 6:3 victorious and are therefore fully on course for the playoffs.
The big difference so far has been the opponents of both teams. If the Chargers had one of the simplest game plans, the opposite was the case for Cincinnati. For this reason, our prediction for Chargers against Bengals is also a win for the Bengals, which would thus preserve their chances of making the postseason.
Los Angeles Chargers – Cincinnati Bengals odds | 3 top tips
Betting odds as of: November 14th, 2024, 6:06 p.m
Kickoff for this Sunday Night Game is on Monday night at 2:20 a.m. in Los Angeles. The game can be followed live on DAZN. There are more NFL tips + predictions again this week at Wettbasis + die NFL Game Day Show “Fair Catch” with BoMo. Bet365 also provides you with a great selection of bets on American football. As a new customer you can also benefit from the Bet365 welcome bonus.
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Los Angeles Chargers – Statistics & current form
Jim Harbaugh – the devil. In all of his last positions as a coach, he completely turned the team around and led it from a negative to a positive record. This is also the case with the Chargers – at least so far.
Because the Chargers’ game plan is only now really picking up speed. The franchise’s next five opponents are the Bengals, Ravens, Falcons, Chiefs and Buccaneers. Two more victories would already be considered a success.
Chargers have had a simple game plan so far
Los Angeles has had one of the simplest schedules in the entire NFL so far. The only two games against top teams were promptly lost against the Steelers and the Chiefs. That’s why their 6:3 record must be read with caution.
With the Bengals, another top team (at least in terms of name) is now coming to LA. We are therefore a little surprised by the Chargers’ clear favorite status and see this game a little differently. For us, the Bengals should clearly be ahead in this match.
Tips on Chargers are to be avoided
The Chargers still have the top defense in the NFL with just 13.1 points allowed per game – but these statistics came against opponents like the Saints, Browns or Titans. The Bengals score 27.0 points per game and are a completely different caliber.
The Chargers themselves only score 20.7 points per game, which is half a world compared to the Bengals. That’s why the odds on the Bengals in Los Angeles vs. Cincinnati are much more playable in our opinion. Especially since they give us a value of over 2.00.
Key Players:
QB: Justin Herbert
RB: J.K. Dobbins
WR: Ladd McConkey
TE: Hayden Hurst
K: Cameron Dicker
Last Los Angeles Chargers games:
Cincinnati Bengals – Statistics & Current Form
The Bengals have this one skill this season, losing games by the narrowest of margins. A total of five of their six bankruptcies so far have come within one score. They lost twice by just one point, and once only after extra time.
These three narrow defeats came against the Chiefs and twice the Ravens – i.e. against the crème de la crème of the NFL. We have already discussed the discrepancy in the game plans and the Bengals also played against the Commanders and the Eagles, two other heavyweights.
Bengals better than their record
Accordingly, many experts still believe that the franchise will qualify for the playoffs, but they can no longer afford any slip-ups. Even the game against LA almost has to be viewed as a “must-win game”.
As many experts have the Bengals ahead in this matchup, the betting providers seem to think little of this favorite position. This is of course good for our tips, as bets on Cincinnati become significantly more valuable.
Cincinnati with a great passing offense
The Bengals are convincing across the board this season, especially through the air. With 254.8 yards per game, they average the fourth-most passing yards of any team. For comparison: The Chargers only get 196.4 here.
With Tee Higgins now returning to the line-up at Cincinnati, they will remain extremely dangerous here on Sunday – in our eyes too dangerous for the Chargers, who were particularly vulnerable against the top teams through the air.
So this matchup suits the Bengals and we see their offense as the strongest unit on the field – even ahead of the Chargers defense. This makes the odds on the Bengals our recommendation for LA vs. Cincinnati.
Key Players:
QB: Joe Burrow
RB: Chase Brown
WR: Ja’Marr Chase
TE: Mike Gesicki
K: Evan McPherson
Cincinnati Bengals last games:
Our Los Angeles Chargers – Cincinnati Bengals tip in odds comparison November 18, 2024 – 1/2
Betting odds as of November 16, 2024, 6:15 a.m
Los Angeles Chargers – Cincinnati Bengals Direct comparison / H2H balance
The last three direct duels all went to the Chargersalthough the last meeting was three years ago. Nevertheless, it can be stated that both Justin Herbert and Joe Burrow were already on the field in this last duel. Herbert leads this duel 1-0.
However, a lot has happened since then and Burrow even led the Bengals to a Super Bowl. The current squad isn’t all that different from this time. Only their defense has a few more holes – which the top teams in particular have been able to exploit mercilessly this season.
Despite their 6:3 record, the Chargers are not yet such a top team. That’s why we see the betting odds on LA in this matchup as hardly playable for Chargers vs. Bengals. The fact that they are considered the favorites makes betting on Cincinnati even more interesting.
Statistics highlights for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Betting base forecast & Los Angeles Chargers – Cincinnati Bengals Tipp
Who will win the race? The Chargers’ stronger defense or the Bengals’ stronger offense? We see the Bengals’ offense as the key unit here, as we don’t see the Chargers’ offense as good enough to perfectly exploit Cincinnati’s defensive weaknesses.
Since the Bengals score 27.0 points per game but are only scheduled to score 23.5 on Sunday, this is an initial recommendation. All in all, it’s Chargers vs. Bengals a tip for victory Cincinnati but our clear number 1.
Key-Facts – Los Angeles Chargers vs. Cincinnati Bengals Tipp
- The Bengals have already lost five times by just one score difference
- At 13.1, the Chargers allow the fewest points of any team
- Four of the last five duels went to the Chargers
Another alternative between the Chargers and the Bengals is a prediction on a touchdown by Ja’Marr Chase. He’s just coming off a 3-TD performance against the Ravens and already has ten touchdowns this season. The fact that the odds of a TD from him are still 1.90 is very surprising to us.
Odds probabilities for win Los Angeles Chargers / draw / win Cincinnati Bengals:
Over 47.5 points: 1.91 @Bwin
Under 47.5 points: 1.91 @Bwin
Betting odds as of: November 14th, 2024, 6:06 p.m