Chinese Herald Network – Herald News – The national football team is underestimated! 70% may miss the World Cup and 2.6% may go straight to the finals

On November 21st, Beijing time, the famous website We Global Football conducted a data analysis on the qualifying situation for the top 18 matches. The result was that the Chinese men’s football team was not optimistic!

After winning two consecutive games, the national football team lost 1-3 at home to Japan, ending this year’s round of 18. After 6 rounds, Ivankovic’s team had 2 wins, 4 losses and 6 points, the same points as Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, and Bahrain. However, because the goal difference was only -10, it finally returned to the bottom, but it was far behind the second-place Australia. Only 1 point difference.

Domestic media and fans are generally optimistic that the national football team will advance to the semi-finals with the top four in the group, and it is even possible that the top two in the group will go straight to the World Cup! However, We Global Football doesn’t think so.

The website predicts that the possibility of the national football team winning first place in the group is 0%, the possibility of second place in the group is only 2.6%, the possibility of ranking third in the group is 10.6%, fourth place is 16.1%, and fifth place is 23.6% , the probability of being eliminated at the bottom is as high as 47.1%.

In other words, the possibility of the national football team going directly to the World Cup finals is 2.6%, the possibility of advancing to the top six is ​​26.7%, and the possibility of being eliminated directly and missing the World Cup is 70.7%!

Another website is relatively more optimistic about the national football team: the possibility of going directly to the World Cup is 7%, the possibility of advancing to the top six is ​​36%, and the possibility of being directly eliminated and missing the World Cup is 57%, which is more than half.