Week 9 NFL Picks | toronto sun

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Miami Dolphins (2-5), Buffalo Bills (6-2)

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Line: Buffalo By 6

The Bills fell behind by a final score of 31-10 before Tua Tagovailoa suffered a concussion in the third quarter of a Week 2 meeting. That’s not surprising. While Josh Allen is 11-2 (34 TDs, 7 picks) against the Dolphins, Tua is 1-7 (7 TDs, 10 picks) against Buffalo. The Bills have won the last eight meetings in upstate New York by an average score of 36.6 to 21.4.

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acquisition: Buffalo -6

Bills 36, Dolphins 21

Denver Broncos (5-3) vs Baltimore Ravens (5-3)

LINE: Baltimore by 9.5

What a bizarre line. The Broncos have a top-three defense and are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS as visitors. The Ravens ‘D’ is ranked 25th and will have to contend with rookie QB Bo Nix, who has eight TD passes and one interception in his last five games. If they can limit the damage Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson take, Sean Payton’s team can further enhance its reputation as road warriors.

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acquisition: Denver +9.5

Broncos 21, Ravens 20

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks

LINE: Los Angeles by 1.5

Now that both Cooper Kupp and Pukua Nacua are back to complement Kyren Williams’ performance, the Rams could go on a tear. It’s like jumping over the Seahawks, who were once a very strong home team but have now lost three straight and are 1-4 ATS at Lumen Field. Even if DK Metcalf limps back due to a knee injury.

acquisition: Los Angeles -1.5

Rams 27, Seahawks 21

And the rest…

Dallas Cowboys (3-4) vs Atlanta Falcons (5-3)

LINE: Atlanta by 2.5

The Cowboys’ defense wasn’t great before Micah Parsons’ injury, but they allowed 77 points in the last two games without him. Still, Dallas needs this more than the Falcons, who clinched first place in the NFC South after beating Tampa last week and know they won’t gain any ground if the Bucs upset the Chiefs on Monday.

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acquisition: Dallas +2.5

Cowboys 28, Falcons 27

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

LINE: New Orleans by 7.5

Only the Saints’ defense allowed more yards than Carolina’s, but like most games, this one is decided by the quarterback. Derek Carr is doing his best to overcome an oblique injury to play against the Panthers. He threw three TD passes in a 47-10 win in Week 1 and is 5-0 overall in his career. Panthers coach Dave Canales has already confirmed that Andy Dalton (thumb) will need more rehab time, and he’s leaning on Bryce Young again. Bryce Young threw two interceptions in a starting role last week, as he did against the Saints in the opener.

acquisition: New Orleans -7.5

Saints 30, Panthers 20

Las Vegas Raiders (2-6), Cincinnati Bengals (3-5)

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Line: Cincinnati by 7.5

The Raiders have been eliminated for the fourth straight time, but are coming off back-to-back backdoor covers with one-point losses to the Rams and Chiefs. The Bengals have averaged just 18.3 points while winning two of their last three games and have recorded just one win. Our math says the Bengals win by less than a TD.

acquisition: Las Vegas +7.5

Bengals 20, Raiders 14

Washington Commanders (6 wins, 2 losses) vs. New York Giants (2 wins, 6 losses)

Line: Washington 3.5

Don’t be surprised if the Commanders are suffering from a bit of a Hail Mary hangover and find it difficult for a team to beat a division rival twice in the same season (Washington kicked seven field goals to win their Week 2 meeting). 21-18). But only the Dolphins averaged 14.6 fewer points per game than the Giants, and Miami was without a quarterback for most of the season. Did I mention that Washington’s defense ranks third in yards allowed?

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acquisition: Washington -3.5

Commanders 23, Giants 17

Los Angeles Chargers (4-3), Cleveland Browns (2-6)

Line: Los Angeles by 2

Since he followed Eminem’s advice and didn’t miss the opportunity last week, this line suggests that people believe Jamesis Winston can throw for over 300 yards and three touchdowns again. But last week he did it against a Ravens pass defense ranked 32nd while the Chargers ranked 9th against the air offense. There’s also Justin Herbert, who appears to be able to throw again after previously having a sore ankle. Additionally, Jim Harbaugh is 7-1 ATS in “East Coast” games.

acquisition: Los Angeles -2

Charger 23, Brown 20

New England Patriots (2-6) vs. Tennessee Titans (1-6)

Line: Tennessee by 3.5

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Whether he’s out of concussion protocol or not, the Patriots will be cautious of Drake Maye in this aimless season. However, at the time this was written, the list of players not training with the Titans included Tony Pollard (who could play the entire New England defense), Will Levis, Calvin Ridley, T’Vondre Sweat, Jeffrey Simmons and L’Jarius. Sneed. Even Jacoby Brissett should be able to lead the Patriots to field goal coverage and hook if two men are missing.

acquisition: New England +3.5

Titans 17, Patriots 14

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (5-2)

line: Philadelphia 7.5

Trevor Lawrence will be without left tackle (Cam Robinson was traded to Minnesota) and at least one receiver (Calvin Kirk), and the status of Brian Thomas Jr. and Gabe Davis is unclear. The Eagles have won three straight and have now scored 65 points in their last two games with a healthy offense. They need to keep moving forward against the 29th ranked defense.

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acquisition: Philadelphia -7.5

Eagles 34, Jaguars 14

Chicago Bears (4-3) vs Arizona Cardinals (4-4)

LINE: Arizona by 1

Caleb Williams, who had a bye last week, appeared to have forgotten everything he learned in the first six games, but the Commanders have the sixth-best pass defense and are one of the best teams at applying pressure. The Cardinals are one of the worst teams, ranked 26th in pass defense. The same goes for their defense. D’Andre Swift is one of the better pass-catching backs in the league, averaging 96.5 yards rushing over his last four games.

acquisition: Chicago +1

Bears 28, Cardinals 17

Green Bay Packers (6-2) vs. Detroit Lions (6-1)

Line: Detroit By 3.5

The Lions have averaged 43 points over their last four games, so whether Jordan Love plays below 100% or Malik Willis is at QB for the Packers, it will be very difficult for the green and gold to keep up. Green Bay is 62-29-4 all-time against the Lions at home, but the Lions have won twice at Lambeau in 2023 (34-20, 20-16).

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acquisition: Detroit -3.5

Lions 28, Packers 24

Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings

Line: Minnesota 5.5

Joe Flacco will spell Huffin’ and Puffin’ Anthony Richardson as the Colts QB. This is good news for Indy backers, as the 39-year-old vet has seven TD passes against one pick and the 22-year-old sophomore has four TD passes. And 7 picks. The Colts are also rested with the Vikings missing starting left tackle Christian Darrisaw. This means that in his second game back from injury, DeForest Buckner should be able to get a good feel for the type of toothpaste Sam Darnold uses. The Vikings are too good a team to lose three in a row, but they’re in for a battle here.

acquisition: Indianapolis +5.5

Vikings 23, Colts 21

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (7-0)

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Line: Kansas City 8.5

Only two of the Chiefs’ wins have been by more than seven points, and despite missing stud receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, Baker Mayfield still threw for 330 yards and three TDs in last week’s divisional loss to the Falcons. Patrick Mahomes can launch an attempt at any time, and Tampa’s pass defense ranks 29th. But they don’t call him a backdoor baker. Okay, they don’t call him that at all, but he might start after Monday.

acquisition: Tampa Bay +8.5

Chieftain 27, Pirate 20

Dan Bilicki

Last week: 9-7

Season: 57–64-2

Last week’s best: 0-1

Best Betting Season: 4-4

Don Brennan

Last week: 8-8

Season: 60-61-2

Best bet last week: 1-2

Best Betting Season: 11–12-1

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