Bills vs. Chiefs tip, forecast & odds 11/17/24 – betting basis

The number 1 seed in the AFC is being sought and the Chiefs are starting from pole position. They currently lead the conference with 9-0 wins. The Bills, on the other hand, are 8-2 and could at least catch up with our Bills vs. Chiefs tip after wins on Sunday.

This matchup has developed into a classic in recent years and has always produced some exciting headlines. The exciting thing: The Bills all won the last three regular-season duelsthe Chiefs were successful in the last three playoff games.

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Since we are dealing with a regular season game here, we can understand the Bills’ status as favorites. Especially since the Chiefs have more or less tormented themselves from win to win in the last few weeks and at times even floundered.

So our forecast for Bills against Chiefs is a close game, which could end up going to Buffalo again, as is typical of the regular season. In any case, we expect two top performances from the quarterbacks, who always perform particularly well in these duels.

Buffalo Bills – Kansas City Chiefs odds | 3 top tips

Kickoff of this hot AFC duel is on Sunday at 10:25 p.m. in Buffalo. The game can be watched live on DAZN. NFL Matchday 11 also offers many NFL tips + predictions in the betting base. In addition, there is the extremely popular NFL Game Day Show Fair Catch with BoMo. You can also find great odds for American football at the betting provider Merkur Bets, where you can win an attractive welcome bonus as a new customer.

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Buffalo Bills – Statistics & Current Form

The Bills were number 1 in the NFL’s power rankings after three game days and then lost two games in a row. They now have five wins in a row and are considered the hottest team in the league after Kansas City and Detroit.

Statistically speaking, they are still ahead of the Chiefs – offense and defense combined. Because they only allow 1.4 more points per game, but score 4.7 more per game. And the points are not the only statistic in which they are clearly ahead of the champion.

Buffalo is very confident with the ball

The turnover statistics are even more striking. Here the Bills clearly lead the entire NFL with a value of +13. 19 takeaways compared to only six ball losses, which is a fantastic value. For comparison: The Chiefs are only at -4.

They have already lost the ball twelve times and have only managed to win it eight times. If the Bills win the turnover battle on Sunday, it would be a big step towards victory. In general, the statistics speak a little more in Buffalo’s favor.

This means that the odds on the Bills against Chiefs are a little more playable than on Kansas City. Everyone has to decide for themselves whether they should take the risk of betting against the Chiefs.

Quarter number 2 often has a lot of points

As an alternative, we have one or two other very exciting options. One of them: The second quarter will be the highest in points. Why is this option promising? Because this has happened six times in the last seven direct duels.

There were seven direct duels between 2020 and 2024 and it was very noticeable that the scoring drive always started in the second quarter. In the last duel in the playoffs in January, for example, 24 of the 51 total points were scored in the second period.

Key Players:

QB: Josh Allen
RB: James Cook
WR: Amari Cooper
TE: Dalton Kincaid
K: Tyler Bass

Last Buffalo Bills games:

Kansas City Chiefs – Statistics & Current Form

Currently it’s the same story every week. NFL game day is over and no one really knows how the Chiefs can still be undefeated. Against the Broncos, they were only a 35-yard field goal away from a loss – and then they were actually able to block it.

It would actually be typical if things continued like this, with the Chiefs making it into the playoffs with a 17-0 win, only to lose in their first game. It would be the NFL “in a nutshell.” For this story to happen, the Chiefs first have to beat the Bills and that will be difficult.

Chiefs just the underdogs

We have already explained the statistical disadvantages compared to Buffalo. For this reason, the Chiefs go into the game as slight underdogs. So are tips on Kansas City worth it? We would advise against because they are currently acting too inconsistently offensively.

They only managed 16 points of their own against a strong Broncos defense. However, the Bills’ defense is hardly inferior to Denver’s. She allows a full 1.6 points more, which also leaves the bosses’ point total on Sunday with a bigger question mark.

Looking for tip alternatives

Since we don’t have win tips at the top of the list for this matchup, we’re looking for alternatives. These could be touchdown bets on Kareem Hunt or James Cook – but we like a points bet on the second quarter even better.

We have already mentioned that this has been the highest-scoring quarter in six of the last seven duels and this is once again the quarter with the most points in Chiefs games this season. On the last day of the game against Denver, 24 of the 30 total points were scored in the second quarter.

That’s why a prediction for the second quarter as the most points-rich for Buffalo vs. Kansas City is a somewhat more unusual tip, but it gives us odds of up to 2.90 (Bet365).

Key Players:

QB: Patrick Mahomes
RB: Kareem Hunt
WR: DeAndre Hopkins
TE: Travis Kelce
K: Harrison Butker

Last Kansas City Chiefs games:

Our Buffalo Bills – Kansas City Chiefs tip in odds comparison November 17th, 2024 – 1/2

Buffalo Bills – Kansas City Chiefs Direct comparison / H2H balance

The last three playoff games went to the Chiefs and the last three regular season games to Buffalo. There is clearly a pattern there. In this respect, the Bills’ favorite status is not a big surprise in our eyes.

We have already discussed the often high-scoring second quarter. But one more thing stands out: An average of 55 total points were scored in these last six duels. The line for Sunday is now 45.5.

This brings another bet into focus: tips on over points. For Bills against Chiefs, the betting odds of over 45.5 total points are a good option, as the Bills in particular have repeatedly played their games with a lot of points recently.

Statistics highlights for Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Betting base forecast & Buffalo Bills – Kansas City Chiefs Tipp

We see the Bills with a slight advantage, but still avoid betting on them at this point. Instead, we want to present betting alternatives that are promising. One of them is general over-points, as this duel was always quite high in points.

However, we get even better value when betting on the second quarter. This is traditionally the highest scoring in this matchup, which is one for Bills vs. Chiefs Tip quarter number 2 as the one with the most points makes it our absolute recommendation.

Key-Facts – Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Tipp

• The last 3 regular season games went to the Bills, the last 3 playoff games went to the Chiefs
• With 29.0, the Bills score the third-most points per game
• The Bills have the best turnover ratio in the NFL at +13

Alternatively, we present a player bet. We recommend the odds for a James Cook touchdown between the Bills and the Chiefs. Since the Bills are missing one or two important receivers, he should be installed as both a runner and a pass receiver, which will significantly increase his chances of scoring a TD.

Buffalo Bills – Kansas City Chiefs – Betting odds * & other interesting bets at a glance:

Over/Under 45.5 total points

Over 45.5 points: 1.88 @Bet-at-home
Under 45.5 points: 1.95 @Bwin