A message from the editors of Baseball Prospectus: Subscription pricing will not change
Dear readers: We recently met with our owners and wanted to update you on how things are going at Baseball Prospectus and our plans for the future. Getting to the point: Like many sites with our business model, our subscriptions have dropped a bit over the last 1-2 seasons. It’s nothing serious at the moment, […]
Playing guessing games with free agents
Image credit: © Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports Translated by Pepe Latorre In any offseason, only a limited number of top-level starters are available in free agency. This year is no different. We have to Blake Snell, Max Fried, Corbin Burnes and Rōki Sasaki. If your team doesn’t land one of the big names, it will […]
The inequality of the 2024 season
Image credit: © Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images Translated by José M. Hernández Lagunes In 2017, I introduced the Gini Coefficient. Well, I introduced it to some of you; others were already familiar with it. The Gini Coefficient, invented by Italian statistician Corrado Gini, calculates the inequality in a distribution. Gini created this measure to estimate income […]
How to keep the cat at bay
Image credit: © Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images Translated by Fernando Battaglini Baseball’s great game of cat and mouse has new limits. When a fast runner reaches base, it is no longer a matter of the runner and the pitcher testing each other, from an indefinite distance, with “A” moves, “B” moves, outside steps and deceptions. Now […]
The story of Bill Salkeld, an ordinary man
Translated by Pepe Latorre There should be more baseball cards. It may seem like an absurd comment at a time when Topps launches 30 different series a year, each with its own variations, chrome finishes, rainbow glitter, series with colored borders and Easter eggs and pumpkins and cancer ribbons and traces of radioactive thorium. And […]
The changing figure of the designated hitter position
Image credit: © Peter Aiken-Imagn Images Translated by José M. Hernández Lagunes Salvador Pérez was one of the great little stories of the MLB this season. The veteran catcher already looked like a player on the decline in 2022 and 2023. He posted identical .292 OBP numbers each year, his receiving got closer and closer […]
Which teams could be ready for SEAGER’s jump?
Image credit: © Bill Streicher-Imagn Images Translated by Fernando Battaglini If you’ve ever been to a central shopping location (a mall, a riverside “magical town,” a theme park), you know what it’s like to look at a map to plot your movements. Your eyes scan the place for the note in large letters that tells […]
Understanding draft dynamics and valuation
Image credit: © David Richard-Imagn Images Translated by Pepe Latorre Most valuation systems, including mine, use a generalized set of assumptions about how the market will behave (i.e., a “typical” league). The primary assumption driving the valuation is that this typical league will allocate 65% to 70% of its resources to hitting and 30% to […]
No free substitutions | Baseball Prospectus
Image credit: © Brad Penner-Imagn Images Translated by Marco Gámez. Baseball has a funny sense of humor, or at least Dave Roberts He has it. In Game 4 of the World Series, last Tuesday night, the Dodgers covered it with their relief staff. There was a lot of talk about it, because this is far […]
It could be fun to fix Luis Robert
Image credit: © Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports Translated by Fernando Battaglini The 2024 White Sox were baseball’s answer to the Titanic. There were many warnings that it was coming, but tragically, it was too late for the organization to turn away from the calamity. The result was a disaster so mismanaged that it could […]